Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Foret de Ngayene

  • WDPA ID

    352655

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
26
Bird
45
372
Mammal
4
87
Total
53
485

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 11.0%
  • 16.6%
  • 29.2%
  • 22.6%
  • 38.0%
  • 56.6%
Mammal
  • 12.9%
  • 20.8%
  • 36.4%
  • 24.4%
  • 45.4%
  • 69.3%
Amphibian
  • 11.6%
  • 24.7%
  • 47.1%
  • 24.2%
  • 53.1%
  • 72.3%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Passer domesticus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Larus genei Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Actophilornis africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apus caffer
DEC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
DEC
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubo africanus
DEC
DEC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx caprius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
NO CHANGE
Crecopsis egregia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
DEC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
NO CHANGE
INC
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neotis denhami
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platysteira cyanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sylvietta brachyura
DEC
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua paradisaea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model