< Return to Official Record for Foret de Patako

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Foret de Patako

WDPA ID
352656
Country
SEN
IUCN category
Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

	Vulnerable Species	Total Species
Amphibian	3	23
Bird	51	391
Mammal	4	85
Total	58	499

11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

	by 2010-2039	by 2040-2069
Bird	11.2% 17.1% 28.5%	21.5% 32.3% 45.7%
Mammal	15.2% 22.7% 35.8%	22.0% 37.8% 57.3%
Amphibian	14.8% 22.6% 35.1%	21.7% 41.5% 55.6%

Vulnerable species

Name	Order	IUCN Red List category	Sensitivity to climate change	Adaptability to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus	Caprimulgiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus	Falconiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low genetic diversity Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti	Piciformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus	Pelecaniformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra	Ciconiiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata	Charadriiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus	Coraciiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos	Falconiformes	VU	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus	Apodiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus	Falconiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus	Apodiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation	Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus	Coraciiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia	Ciconiiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops	Coraciiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini	Falconiformes	VU	Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca	Anseriformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur	Columbiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea	Columbiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus	Cuculiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus	Falconiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus	Falconiformes	LC	Intolerance of disturbance Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri	Apodiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa	Cuculiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis	Piciformes	LC	Intolerance of disturbance Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus	Piciformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Chlidonias niger	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Aythya ferina	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Calidris alpina	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal Slow turnover of generations
Passer domesticus	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Larus genei	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name	By 2010-2039	By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Falco alopex	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii	INC	INC
Struthio camelus	INC	INC
Ardeotis arabs	INC	INC
Nectarinia chloropygia	INC	INC
Glareola nuchalis	INC	NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis	INC	INC
Cursorius cursor	INC	INC
Turdoides fulva	INC	INC
Caprimulgus eximius	INC	NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus	INC	NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus	INC	INC
Alaemon alaudipes	INC	INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca	NO CHANGE	DEC
Ammomanes deserti	INC	INC
Anaplectes rubriceps	INC	NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa	INC	NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus	INC	INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons	INC	INC
Anthus similis	INC	INC
Apus caffer	NO CHANGE	DEC
Ardea melanocephala	NO CHANGE	DEC
Batis senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Burhinus capensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis	INC	INC
Camaroptera brachyura	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea	INC	INC
Caprimulgus climacurus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus	INC	INC
Centropus grillii	INC	INC
Cercotrichas podobe	INC	INC
Charadrius pecuarius	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus	INC	INC
Ciconia abdimii	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cisticola aridulus	INC	INC
Clamator glandarius	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Columba guinea	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei	INC	INC
Cuculus clamosus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cypsiurus parvus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus	INC	INC
Emberiza flaviventris	INC	INC
Emberiza striolata	INC	INC
Emberiza tahapisi	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis	INC	INC
Eremomela pusilla	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes	INC	INC
Estrilda caerulescens	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Eupodotis savilei	INC	NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis	INC	INC
Gypohierax angolensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster	NO CHANGE	DEC
Hippolais pallida	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica	INC	INC
Hirundo aethiopica	INC	INC
Hirundo fuligula	INC	INC
Hirundo obsoleta	INC	INC
Indicator minor	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta	INC	INC
Lagonosticta senegala	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus	INC	INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lonchura bicolor	INC	NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans	NO CHANGE	DEC
Melaenornis edolioides	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar	NO CHANGE	DEC
Melierax metabates	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Merops albicollis	INC	NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki	NO CHANGE	INC
Merops pusillus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Mesopicos goertae	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans	INC	INC
Muscicapa gambagae	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Mycteria ibis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini	INC	INC
Onychognathus morio	INC	INC
Otus leucotis	DEC	DEC
Passer luteus	INC	INC
Pelecanus rufescens	NO CHANGE	DEC
Petronia pyrgita	INC	INC
Phoeniculus purpureus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Phyllanthus atripennis	INC	NO CHANGE
Platalea alba	NO CHANGE	DEC
Plegadis falcinellus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii	INC	INC
Pterocles quadricinctus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus	INC	INC
Sagittarius serpentarius	INC	INC
Spiloptila clamans	INC	INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus	INC	INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis	DEC	NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura	NO CHANGE	DEC
Tchagra senegalus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus	INC	INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Vanellus albiceps	INC	INC
Vidua chalybeata	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni	INC	NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Foret de Patako (CSV file).