< Return to Official Record for Foret du Guimara

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Foret du Guimara

WDPA ID
352664
Country
SEN
IUCN category
Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

	Vulnerable Species	Total Species
Amphibian	4	28
Bird	41	374
Mammal	5	94
Total	50	496

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

	by 2010-2039	by 2040-2069
Bird	15.9% 20.7% 27.2%	27.2% 34.4% 49.7%
Mammal	19.4% 26.9% 38.0%	30.4% 47.0% 64.0%
Amphibian	18.9% 31.5% 51.6%	32.1% 49.9% 71.0%

Vulnerable species

Name	Order	IUCN Red List category	Sensitivity to climate change	Adaptability to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus	Caprimulgiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus	Falconiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low genetic diversity Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti	Piciformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus	Pelecaniformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata	Charadriiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus	Coraciiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos	Falconiformes	VU	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus	Apodiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus	Falconiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus	Apodiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation	Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus	Coraciiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia	Ciconiiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops	Coraciiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini	Falconiformes	VU	Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca	Anseriformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur	Columbiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea	Columbiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus	Cuculiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus	Falconiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus	Falconiformes	LC	Intolerance of disturbance Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri	Apodiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa	Cuculiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Larus genei	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name	By 2010-2039	By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti	DEC	DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus	DEC	DEC
Torgos tracheliotos	INC	NO CHANGE
Falco alopex	DEC	DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii	INC	INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus	DEC	DEC
Glareola cinerea	INC	NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus	INC	INC
Ardeotis arabs	INC	INC
Nectarinia chloropygia	INC	INC
Campethera nivosa	INC	INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus	DEC	NO CHANGE
Sylvietta virens	INC	NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis	DEC	DEC
Glareola nuchalis	INC	NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis	INC	INC
Cursorius cursor	INC	NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva	INC	NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii	DEC	DEC
Tockus nasutus	DEC	DEC
Lybius bidentatus	INC	NO CHANGE
Lybius dubius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus	INC	INC
Accipiter ovampensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens	INC	NO CHANGE
Actophilornis africanus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes	INC	INC
Alcedo cristata	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Amandava subflava	INC	INC
Amaurornis flavirostra	DEC	DEC
Ammomanes deserti	INC	INC
Anas hottentota	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa	INC	NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus	INC	INC
Anthoscopus parvulus	DEC	DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons	INC	INC
Anthreptes collaris	INC	NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei	DEC	NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus	DEC	DEC
Anthus leucophrys	NO CHANGE	DEC
Anthus similis	INC	INC
Apus caffer	DEC	DEC
Aquila rapax	INC	NO CHANGE
Aquila wahlbergi	INC	INC
Ardea melanocephala	DEC	DEC
Asio capensis	INC	INC
Aviceda cuculoides	NO CHANGE	DEC
Balearica pavonina	NO CHANGE	DEC
Batis senegalensis	DEC	DEC
Bubo africanus	DEC	DEC
Burhinus capensis	INC	INC
Burhinus senegalensis	DEC	DEC
Butastur rufipennis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis	INC	INC
Camaroptera brachyura	NO CHANGE	DEC
Campephaga phoenicea	DEC	DEC
Campethera maculosa	INC	INC
Campethera punctuligera	NO CHANGE	DEC
Caprimulgus climacurus	DEC	DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus	INC	INC
Centropus senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cercomela familiaris	INC	NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe	INC	NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi	NO CHANGE	DEC
Charadrius marginatus	INC	NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius	DEC	DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Chrysococcyx caprius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus	INC	INC
Chrysococcyx klaas	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster	DEC	DEC
Circaetus cinerascens	DEC	DEC
Circaetus cinereus	DEC	DEC
Cisticola aberrans	INC	NO CHANGE
Cisticola aridulus	INC	INC
Cisticola cantans	DEC	DEC
Cisticola lateralis	INC	NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius	DEC	DEC
Clamator jacobinus	INC	NO CHANGE
Clamator levaillantii	NO CHANGE	DEC
Columba guinea	DEC	DEC
Coracias abyssinicus	DEC	DEC
Coracias cyanogaster	NO CHANGE	DEC
Coracias naevia	DEC	DEC
Coracina pectoralis	DEC	DEC
Corvinella corvina	NO CHANGE	DEC
Corvus albus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Corvus rhipidurus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla	DEC	DEC
Cossypha niveicapilla	DEC	DEC
Coturnix delegorguei	INC	INC
Cuculus clamosus	DEC	DEC
Cuculus solitarius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cypsiurus parvus	DEC	DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus	DEC	DEC
Dendropicos elachus	INC	NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii	NO CHANGE	DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis	DEC	NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris	INC	INC
Emberiza striolata	INC	INC
Emberiza tahapisi	DEC	DEC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis	INC	NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis	INC	INC
Eremomela pusilla	NO CHANGE	DEC
Eremopterix leucotis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps	INC	INC
Erythropygia galactotes	INC	INC
Estrilda caerulescens	DEC	DEC
Estrilda troglodytes	NO CHANGE	DEC
Euplectes ardens	INC	NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Euplectes macroura	NO CHANGE	DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster	NO CHANGE	DEC
Eurystomus glaucurus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Falco ardosiaceus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Falco biarmicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Falco chicquera	DEC	DEC
Falco cuvierii	DEC	DEC
Francolinus bicalcaratus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Francolinus clappertoni	NO CHANGE	INC
Francolinus coqui	INC	NO CHANGE
Glaucidium perlatum	NO CHANGE	DEC
Gypohierax angolensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Gyps africanus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti	DEC	DEC
Halcyon malimbica	NO CHANGE	DEC
Halcyon senegalensis	DEC	DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer	DEC	DEC
Heliolais erythropterus	DEC	DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii	INC	NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster	DEC	DEC
Hirundo abyssinica	INC	INC
Hirundo aethiopica	INC	INC
Hirundo fuligula	INC	INC
Hirundo leucosoma	DEC	DEC
Hirundo preussi	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster	DEC	DEC
Hypergerus atriceps	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator	DEC	DEC
Indicator maculatus	DEC	DEC
Indicator minor	DEC	DEC
Ixobrychus sturmii	INC	NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala	DEC	DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus	DEC	DEC
Lamprotornis chalcurus	DEC	DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lamprotornis chloropterus	DEC	DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus	INC	NO CHANGE
Laniarius barbarus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus	INC	NO CHANGE
Lonchura bicolor	INC	NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans	INC	INC
Lonchura cucullata	DEC	DEC
Lonchura fringilloides	INC	INC
Macrodipteryx longipennis	DEC	DEC
Macronyx croceus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti	NO CHANGE	DEC
Melaenornis edolioides	NO CHANGE	DEC
Melierax gabar	INC	NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates	DEC	DEC
Merops hirundineus	DEC	DEC
Merops nubicus	INC	NO CHANGE
Merops pusillus	DEC	DEC
Mesopicos goertae	DEC	DEC
Microparra capensis	INC	INC
Mirafra africana	INC	NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans	INC	INC
Mirafra cordofanica	INC	NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea	INC	INC
Muscicapa aquatica	NO CHANGE	DEC
Muscicapa gambagae	INC	INC
Mycteria ibis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Myioparus plumbeus	DEC	DEC
Myrmecocichla albifrons	DEC	DEC
Necrosyrtes monachus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea	INC	INC
Nectarinia olivacea	INC	NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella	DEC	DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis	DEC	DEC
Neotis denhami	INC	INC
Nilaus afer	DEC	DEC
Numida meleagris	DEC	DEC
Oenanthe heuglini	INC	INC
Onychognathus morio	INC	INC
Oriolus auratus	DEC	DEC
Otus leucotis	DEC	DEC
Otus senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Passer griseus	DEC	DEC
Passer luteus	INC	NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens	DEC	DEC
Petronia dentata	NO CHANGE	DEC
Petronia pyrgita	INC	INC
Phoeniculus purpureus	DEC	DEC
Platalea alba	NO CHANGE	DEC
Platysteira cyanea	NO CHANGE	DEC
Plectropterus gambensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Plegadis falcinellus	DEC	DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Pluvianus aegyptius	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus	DEC	DEC
Poicephalus senegalus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus	DEC	DEC
Prinia subflava	DEC	DEC
Prionops plumatus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii	INC	INC
Pterocles quadricinctus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Ptilopachus petrosus	DEC	DEC
Ptilostomus afer	NO CHANGE	DEC
Pytilia melba	INC	NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Quelea erythrops	NO CHANGE	DEC
Quelea quelea	INC	NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius	INC	INC
Serinus mozambicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Spiloptila clamans	INC	NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis	INC	INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus	INC	INC
Streptopelia decipiens	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Streptopelia semitorquata	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Streptopelia vinacea	NO CHANGE	DEC
Sylvietta brachyura	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Tchagra senegalus	DEC	DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus	DEC	DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus	INC	INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris	INC	NO CHANGE
Threskiornis aethiopicus	DEC	DEC
Tockus fasciatus	DEC	DEC
Treron waalia	DEC	DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus	DEC	DEC
Turdoides reinwardii	DEC	DEC
Turdus pelios	NO CHANGE	DEC
Turtur abyssinicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus	DEC	DEC
Urocolius macrourus	INC	INC
Vanellus senegallus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata	DEC	DEC
Vidua interjecta	DEC	DEC
Vidua macroura	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Vidua paradisaea	INC	INC
Vidua wilsoni	DEC	DEC
Zosterops senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Foret du Guimara (CSV file).