Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Afi Mountain

  • WDPA ID

    354003

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
26
Bird
93
392
Mammal
11
100
Total
105
518

20 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 18.7%
  • 22.5%
  • 38.0%
  • 25.3%
  • 36.0%
  • 48.4%
Mammal
  • 24.4%
  • 26.8%
  • 39.2%
  • 28.3%
  • 36.1%
  • 49.7%
Amphibian
  • 9.3%
  • 12.8%
  • 24.8%
  • 17.1%
  • 33.2%
  • 53.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia nigromitrata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis rufolateralis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa olivascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neafrapus cassini Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bias musicus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryotriorchis spectabilis Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus ansorgei Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia johannae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura melanopygia Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus batesi Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba unicincta Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia cyanolaema Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stizorhina fraseri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bostrychia olivacea Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Slow turnover of generations
Merops apiaster Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryoscopus senegalensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger ndussumensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira tonsa Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glaucidium sjostedti Strigiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia rubescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa sethsmithi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Picathartes oreas Passeriformes
VU
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger chloronotus Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda notatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon clamans Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
DEC
DEC
Bubo poensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
DEC
DEC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Trochocercus nitens
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bostrychia rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urotriorchis macrourus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Smithornis rufolateralis
DEC
DEC
Centropus leucogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba iriditorques
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Criniger calurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa olivascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neafrapus cassini
DEC
DEC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
DEC
DEC
Platysteira castanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bias musicus
DEC
DEC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
DEC
DEC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pholidornis rushiae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus ansorgei
DEC
DEC
Ceratogymna atrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa comitata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba unicincta
DEC
DEC
Corythaeola cristata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cyanolaema
DEC
DEC
Bleda syndactylus
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira concreta
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo shelleyi
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
INC
Accipiter castanilius
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira tonsa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Prinia leucopogon
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa sethsmithi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Criniger chloronotus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllastrephus xavieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Agapornis swindernianus
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe castanea
DEC
DEC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes aurantium
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
DEC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma vittatum
DEC
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Aquila africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
NO CHANGE
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis occulta
INC
NO CHANGE
Batis senegalensis
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus vermiculatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
NO CHANGE
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga petiti
DEC
DEC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Campethera tullbergi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercococcyx olivinus
DEC
DEC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola anonymus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola lateralis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha polioptera
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Criniger barbatus
INC
INC
Cryptospiza reichenovii
DEC
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos poecilolaemus
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus angolensis
DEC
DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus sabini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
DEC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda nonnula
DEC
DEC
Estrilda troglodytes
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
DEC
DEC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco bonapartei
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
DEC
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo preussi
DEC
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Jubula lettii
INC
NO CHANGE
Jynx ruficollis
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
DEC
DEC
Lanius gubernator
NO CHANGE
INC
Lanius mackinnoni
DEC
DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Linurgus olivaceus
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Mesopicos elliotii
DEC
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
DEC
DEC
Musophaga rossae
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia preussi
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus icterorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
INC
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
INC
Platysteira chalybea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus aurantius
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus baglafecht
DEC
DEC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
INC
INC
Ploceus pelzelni
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
DEC
DEC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus gulielmi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Prinia bairdii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
DEC
DEC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Sasia africana
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus burtoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
DEC
DEC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur tympanistria
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model