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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Kaikaimako

  • WDPA ID

    36174

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
7
Bird
37
275
Mammal
6
54
Total
43
336

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.9%
  • 16.0%
  • 22.8%
  • 15.2%
  • 21.0%
  • 36.3%
Mammal
  • 19.3%
  • 22.5%
  • 29.6%
  • 24.5%
  • 29.3%
  • 43.0%
Amphibian
  • 13.2%
  • 18.0%
  • 29.0%
  • 14.4%
  • 22.6%
  • 31.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fulica atra Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
DEC
DEC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela melanura
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
DEC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis savilei
NO CHANGE
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
DEC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Macronyx croceus
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra cantillans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
DEC
DEC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
DEC
DEC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Kaikaimako (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Kaikaimako