Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Isa Zurmi
WDPA ID
36182
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
1
|
10
|
|
| Bird |
38
|
295
|
|
| Mammal |
4
|
57
|
|
| Total | 43 |
362 |
11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas crecca | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Marmaronetta angustirostris | Anseriformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Aythya fuligula | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Corvus ruficollis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Fulica atra | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides fulva | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Aquila rapax | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Bucanetes githagineus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Buteo auguralis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela melanura | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceyx pictus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx klaas | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cinnyricinclus leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvinella corvina | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes ardens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon leucocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hippolais pallida | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | INC |
INC |
|
| Megaceryle maxima | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops albicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nilaus afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oenanthe leucopyga | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniconaias minor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
INC |
|
| Podica senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prionops plumatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
