Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Zamfara
WDPA ID
36183
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
1
|
19
|
|
| Bird |
39
|
342
|
|
| Mammal |
5
|
73
|
|
| Total | 45 |
434 |
10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas crecca | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Marmaronetta angustirostris | Anseriformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Aythya fuligula | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Corvus ruficollis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Fulica atra | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides fulva | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila rapax | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bucanetes githagineus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Buteo auguralis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cercomela melanura | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cinnyricinclus leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops albicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oenanthe leucopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniconaias minor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Podica senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
