Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Duisin Bamli
WDPA ID
36197
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
0
|
8
|
|
| Bird |
39
|
291
|
|
| Mammal |
4
|
52
|
|
| Total | 43 |
351 |
12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas crecca | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Marmaronetta angustirostris | Anseriformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Aythya fuligula | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Corvus ruficollis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Fulica atra | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides fulva | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis nuba | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo cristata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes cinctura | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila rapax | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Bucanetes githagineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera punctuligera | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela melanura | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ceyx pictus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx klaas | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cinnyricinclus leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvinella corvina | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremalauda dunni | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Galerida modesta | INC |
INC |
|
| Gorsachius leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Macronyx croceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | INC |
INC |
|
| Megaceryle maxima | INC |
INC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops albicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Musophaga violacea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nilaus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oenanthe leucopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Passer luteus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniconaias minor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
INC |
|
| Podica senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prionops plumatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Treron calvus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Vanellus albiceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
