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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Moma

  • WDPA ID

    36215

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
9
Bird
43
340
Mammal
6
66
Total
50
415

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 7.4%
  • 11.1%
  • 25.0%
  • 13.2%
  • 20.7%
  • 33.3%
Mammal
  • 11.1%
  • 15.2%
  • 28.8%
  • 18.2%
  • 26.2%
  • 41.7%
Amphibian
  • 10.6%
  • 17.0%
  • 24.3%
  • 14.8%
  • 24.5%
  • 38.9%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter nisus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fulica atra Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Torgos tracheliotos
DEC
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia roseogrisea
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Aquila verreauxii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Batis orientalis
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
DEC
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Colius striatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
DEC
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
DEC
DEC
Galerida modesta
INC
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
INC
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
DEC
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Lybius guifsobalito
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
DEC
DEC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Passer luteus
DEC
DEC
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoeniconaias minor
INC
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus meyeri
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
DEC
DEC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua camerunensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Moma (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Moma