Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Gadadri

  • WDPA ID

    36218

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
11
Bird
43
342
Mammal
7
68
Total
51
421

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 7.8%
  • 11.6%
  • 27.8%
  • 12.9%
  • 24.2%
  • 39.5%
Mammal
  • 11.0%
  • 15.1%
  • 35.9%
  • 17.3%
  • 29.4%
  • 49.1%
Amphibian
  • 8.0%
  • 15.3%
  • 31.1%
  • 13.4%
  • 29.1%
  • 44.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter nisus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fulica atra Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
DEC
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
DEC
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
DEC
DEC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardeotis arabs
DEC
DEC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
DEC
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
DEC
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Batis orientalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
DEC
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
DEC
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
DEC
DEC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
NO CHANGE
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
INC
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis pulcher
DEC
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius guifsobalito
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius rolleti
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra africana
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
DEC
DEC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga violacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
DEC
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Passer luteus
DEC
DEC
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Poicephalus meyeri
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
DEC
DEC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
DEC
DEC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua macroura
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model