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< Return to Official Record for Baga

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Baga

  • WDPA ID

    36224

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
5
Bird
49
332
Mammal
6
59
Total
55
396

13 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 8.6%
  • 12.9%
  • 29.1%
  • 14.7%
  • 26.0%
  • 35.6%
Mammal
  • 12.3%
  • 17.5%
  • 39.9%
  • 21.3%
  • 30.1%
  • 51.0%
Amphibian
  • 10.8%
  • 17.6%
  • 28.9%
  • 16.0%
  • 28.2%
  • 49.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter nisus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nordmanni Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Calidris alpina Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fulica atra Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus aegyptius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Torgos tracheliotos
DEC
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardeotis arabs
DEC
DEC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neotis nuba
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Batis orientalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx klaas
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
DEC
DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
DEC
DEC
Galerida modesta
INC
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Kaupifalco monogrammicus
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
DEC
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius excubitoroides
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius guifsobalito
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
NO CHANGE
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Merops albicollis
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
DEC
DEC
Mirafra africana
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra albicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Passer luteus
DEC
DEC
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Poicephalus meyeri
INC
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdus pelios
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Baga (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Baga