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< Return to Official Record for Girari

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Girari

  • WDPA ID

    36258

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
11
Bird
37
300
Mammal
4
53
Total
42
364

11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 10.2%
  • 13.7%
  • 21.3%
  • 14.4%
  • 20.7%
  • 33.1%
Mammal
  • 14.6%
  • 18.2%
  • 26.1%
  • 20.1%
  • 26.6%
  • 43.8%
Amphibian
  • 15.8%
  • 25.4%
  • 35.8%
  • 22.6%
  • 33.0%
  • 39.3%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fulica atra Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Neotis nuba
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila verreauxii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
NO CHANGE
INC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela melanura
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
NO CHANGE
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
INC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
NO CHANGE
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops albicollis
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra cantillans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe leucopyga
NO CHANGE
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Girari (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Girari