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< Return to Official Record for Gwirta

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Gwirta

  • WDPA ID

    36316

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
12
Bird
38
302
Mammal
4
55
Total
43
369

11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 10.8%
  • 14.2%
  • 19.3%
  • 15.5%
  • 19.5%
  • 28.9%
Mammal
  • 13.2%
  • 19.2%
  • 26.5%
  • 20.7%
  • 25.2%
  • 34.1%
Amphibian
  • 21.1%
  • 30.5%
  • 45.6%
  • 25.3%
  • 38.2%
  • 49.7%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fulica atra Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Aquila verreauxii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
NO CHANGE
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bucanetes githagineus
NO CHANGE
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela melanura
NO CHANGE
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola guinea
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
NO CHANGE
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon leucocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
NO CHANGE
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
NO CHANGE
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cucullata
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops albicollis
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
NO CHANGE
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Polyboroides typus
DEC
DEC
Prionops plumatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne obscura
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
NO CHANGE
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
DEC
DEC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua macroura
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Gwirta (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Gwirta