Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
East Anka
WDPA ID
36326
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
2
|
21
|
|
| Bird |
34
|
332
|
|
| Mammal |
2
|
73
|
|
| Total | 38 |
426 |
8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas crecca | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola nuchalis | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus latirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllastrephus albigularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia johannae | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sylvietta denti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turdoides fulva | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes albotibialis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apalis rufogularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis sharpii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apaloderma narina | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Colius striatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina azurea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco chicquera | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco cuvierii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota violacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia adelberti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Podica senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua raricola | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
