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< Return to Official Record for Bagga

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Bagga

  • WDPA ID

    36347

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
17
Bird
35
307
Mammal
3
69
Total
40
393

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 11.1%
  • 13.2%
  • 29.1%
  • 14.4%
  • 19.3%
  • 36.3%
Mammal
  • 14.4%
  • 17.3%
  • 39.2%
  • 19.4%
  • 26.1%
  • 45.1%
Amphibian
  • 4.4%
  • 9.8%
  • 44.2%
  • 7.2%
  • 16.7%
  • 46.8%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
DEC
DEC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter erythropus
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes collaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
DEC
DEC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
DEC
DEC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
NO CHANGE
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
DEC
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Platysteira cyanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
DEC
DEC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Bagga (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Bagga