Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Dutsin Dorowa
WDPA ID
36358
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
1
|
19
|
|
| Bird |
36
|
328
|
|
| Mammal |
2
|
71
|
|
| Total | 39 |
418 |
9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas crecca | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Marmaronetta angustirostris | Anseriformes |
|
VU |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apaloderma narina | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cercomela melanura | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hippolais pallida | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Podica senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Treron calvus | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus tectus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
