Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Dutsin Dorowa

  • WDPA ID

    36358

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
19
Bird
36
328
Mammal
2
71
Total
39
418

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 11.6%
  • 14.2%
  • 18.6%
  • 15.5%
  • 18.1%
  • 22.7%
Mammal
  • 15.0%
  • 18.0%
  • 22.0%
  • 18.0%
  • 21.2%
  • 25.5%
Amphibian
  • 12.2%
  • 22.8%
  • 34.0%
  • 15.2%
  • 30.3%
  • 42.2%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
NO CHANGE
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
NO CHANGE
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Cursorius cursor
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter tachiro
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
DEC
DEC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
NO CHANGE
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
DEC
DEC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aquila wahlbergi
DEC
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercomela melanura
NO CHANGE
INC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
INC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Colius striatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
DEC
DEC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
DEC
DEC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
NO CHANGE
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
DEC
DEC
Hirundo abyssinica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator maculatus
INC
INC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
INC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Onychognathus morio
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
NO CHANGE
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
NO CHANGE
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
NO CHANGE
INC
Spiloptila clamans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
DEC
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua camerunensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model