Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Yammama

  • WDPA ID

    36383

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
19
Bird
36
334
Mammal
2
71
Total
39
424

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 10.8%
  • 14.0%
  • 17.5%
  • 13.7%
  • 17.6%
  • 21.2%
Mammal
  • 14.5%
  • 17.6%
  • 21.3%
  • 13.8%
  • 19.9%
  • 23.5%
Amphibian
  • 13.0%
  • 23.9%
  • 33.0%
  • 14.5%
  • 31.0%
  • 41.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
NO CHANGE
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
NO CHANGE
INC
Turdoides fulva
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
DEC
DEC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
DEC
DEC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus horus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ardeola ralloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
INC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
DEC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus squamatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Guttera pucherani
INC
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
NO CHANGE
INC
Hippolais pallida
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator maculatus
INC
INC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
NO CHANGE
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops albicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
INC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poicephalus robustus
DEC
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
NO CHANGE
INC
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model