Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Tandama
WDPA ID
36388
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
2
|
22
|
|
| Bird |
37
|
347
|
|
| Mammal |
2
|
76
|
|
| Total | 41 |
445 |
9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas crecca | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Marmaronetta angustirostris | Anseriformes |
|
VU |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia nigromitrata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stiphrornis erythrothorax | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus latirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllastrephus albigularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia johannae | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
INC |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
INC |
|
| Dryoscopus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tockus nasutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anas capensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apaloderma narina | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila africanus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bostrychia hagedash | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercococcyx mechowi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Chloropeta natalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina caesia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus glaucurus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria ocreata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gallinula angulata | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lophaetus occipitalis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
INC |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Melichneutes robustus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops nubicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | INC |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia adelberti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Neotis denhami | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer griseus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sheppardia bocagei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Turtur afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
