Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Kogin Kano
WDPA ID
36389
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
2
|
27
|
|
| Bird |
37
|
388
|
|
| Mammal |
2
|
86
|
|
| Total | 41 |
501 |
8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Marmaronetta angustirostris | Anseriformes |
|
VU |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops malimbicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia johannae | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anas capensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Centropus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chloropeta natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clytospiza monteiri | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eupodotis melanogaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gallinula angulata | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius excubitoroides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Melichneutes robustus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops nubicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | INC |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Passer griseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Platalea alba | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
