Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Nasarawa

  • WDPA ID

    36393

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
N/A
N/A
Bird
N/A
N/A
Mammal
N/A
N/A
Total

% of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 9.8%
  • 13.8%
  • 18.3%
  • 14.5%
  • 18.2%
  • 24.7%
Mammal
  • 13.9%
  • 19.7%
  • 27.1%
  • 21.4%
  • 24.6%
  • 32.8%
Amphibian
  • 16.1%
  • 30.0%
  • 47.7%
  • 17.9%
  • 39.0%
  • 52.3%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
INC
INC
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
NO CHANGE
INC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
INC
Merops malimbicus
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
INC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
INC
Trochocercus nitens
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
INC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
INC
INC
Andropadus latirostris
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
INC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
INC
Turtur brehmeri
INC
INC
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
INC
Gymnobucco calvus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
INC
INC
Merops gularis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
INC
Nectarinia minulla
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo leucostictus
INC
INC
Neafrapus cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
INC
Platysteira castanea
NO CHANGE
INC
Bias musicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
INC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
INC
INC
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
INC
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
INC
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Canirallus oculeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Illadopsis cleaveri
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
INC
INC
Gymnobucco peli
NO CHANGE
INC
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Dicrurus atripennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
INC
Accipiter castanilius
INC
INC
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
INC
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
INC
INC
Aquila verreauxii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
NO CHANGE
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus lathami
INC
INC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis jacksoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis nigriceps
INC
INC
Apalis sharpii
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Apaloderma vittatum
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus horus
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila africanus
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis orientalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucanetes githagineus
NO CHANGE
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calyptocichla serina
INC
INC
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Cercomela melanura
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola brunnescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clytospiza monteiri
INC
INC
Colius striatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracina azurea
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
DEC
DEC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dendropicos gabonensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Dryoscopus sabini
NO CHANGE
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda nonnula
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
NO CHANGE
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
NO CHANGE
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
INC
Halcyon leucocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
NO CHANGE
Himantornis haematopus
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Jynx ruficollis
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
NO CHANGE
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Lybius guifsobalito
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
INC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
INC
INC
Malimbus malimbicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Malimbus scutatus
INC
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
DEC
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops albicollis
INC
INC
Merops bulocki
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa adusta
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga rossae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer griseus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
NO CHANGE
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
NO CHANGE
INC
Pitta angolensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Platalea alba
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Platysteira cyanea
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus baglafecht
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
INC
INC
Ploceus preussi
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
DEC
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
DEC
DEC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
DEC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
DEC
DEC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
NO CHANGE
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
DEC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
NO CHANGE
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
DEC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias namaquus
NO CHANGE
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Thripias xantholophus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
INC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model