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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Rurum

  • WDPA ID

    36399

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
23
Bird
38
356
Mammal
2
74
Total
41
453

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 9.9%
  • 14.4%
  • 16.9%
  • 15.4%
  • 19.5%
  • 22.7%
Mammal
  • 10.4%
  • 16.4%
  • 19.9%
  • 15.1%
  • 19.5%
  • 23.6%
Amphibian
  • 9.2%
  • 21.8%
  • 33.4%
  • 18.6%
  • 34.8%
  • 50.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
NO CHANGE
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
DEC
DEC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
DEC
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas capensis
DEC
DEC
Anas hottentota
DEC
DEC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
DEC
DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus affinis
NO CHANGE
INC
Apus horus
INC
INC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardeola ralloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
NO CHANGE
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
DEC
DEC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Buteo auguralis
NO CHANGE
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercomela melanura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
INC
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
INC
Dendropicos elachus
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
DEC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Francolinus ahantensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus squamatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Guttera pucherani
INC
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops albicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
DEC
DEC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
INC
Nigrita bicolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
INC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
INC
Platysteira cyanea
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
DEC
DEC
Polyboroides typus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pycnonotus barbatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
NO CHANGE
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
NO CHANGE
INC
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua camerunensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Rurum (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Rurum