Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Bayawa
WDPA ID
36418
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
4
|
26
|
|
| Bird |
37
|
364
|
|
| Mammal |
5
|
98
|
|
| Total | 46 |
488 |
9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Accipiter erythropus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola cinerea | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Elminia longicauda | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Stiphrornis erythrothorax | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Muscicapa epulata | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola nuchalis | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops malimbicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pogoniulus subsulphureus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trochocercus nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stiphrornis erythrothorax | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus latirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur brehmeri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urotriorchis macrourus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gymnobucco calvus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Smithornis rufolateralis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
INC |
|
| Criniger calurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Muscicapa epulata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia johannae | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cyanolaema | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Buccanodon duchaillui | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ixonotus guttatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Stizorhina fraseri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes albotibialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis rufogularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
INC |
|
| Dryoscopus senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Prinia leucopogon | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tockus nasutus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Uromanis tetradactyla | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lybius dubius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus curvirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apalis flavida | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Apalis sharpii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Batis senegalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Calandrella cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera brachyura | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Camaroptera superciliaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera punctuligera | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercococcyx mechowi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ceuthmochares aereus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceyx lecontei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Chloropeta natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Colius striatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina azurea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvinella corvina | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos gabonensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Drymocichla incana | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela badiceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Eupodotis melanogaster | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco ardosiaceus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Fraseria ocreata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Himantornis haematopus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hyliota violacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator minor | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius leucorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Malimbus rubricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Malimbus scutatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Melichneutes robustus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia adelberti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita canicapillus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita luteifrons | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus fulgidus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Onychognathus morio | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oriolus nigripennis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Otus leucotis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Otus senegalensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira blissetti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus senegalus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Prinia subflava | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tchagra australis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Thripias pyrrhogaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tockus hartlaubi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tropicranus albocristatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus superciliosus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua raricola | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | DEC |
DEC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
