Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Jangasiri

  • WDPA ID

    36432

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
22
Bird
38
332
Mammal
3
71
Total
42
425

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 9.4%
  • 12.7%
  • 17.3%
  • 13.1%
  • 16.8%
  • 25.5%
Mammal
  • 12.4%
  • 14.5%
  • 19.3%
  • 15.3%
  • 19.3%
  • 29.4%
Amphibian
  • 10.3%
  • 18.5%
  • 32.0%
  • 16.6%
  • 26.1%
  • 39.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
NO CHANGE
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
NO CHANGE
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter tachiro
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
DEC
DEC
Agapornis pullarius
NO CHANGE
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
NO CHANGE
INC
Alcedo cristata
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
NO CHANGE
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
DEC
DEC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
NO CHANGE
INC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
NO CHANGE
INC
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aquila wahlbergi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardeola ralloides
INC
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
NO CHANGE
INC
Batis orientalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
NO CHANGE
Ciconia episcopus
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
DEC
DEC
Crinifer piscator
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
DEC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes axillaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
NO CHANGE
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura bicolor
NO CHANGE
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cucullata
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops albicollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops bulocki
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
NO CHANGE
INC
Platalea alba
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira cyanea
NO CHANGE
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
INC
Polyboroides typus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles senegallus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
DEC
DEC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
DEC
DEC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua camerunensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model