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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Lokwoja

  • WDPA ID

    36464

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
27
Bird
33
324
Mammal
4
82
Total
39
433

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 9.5%
  • 12.0%
  • 22.6%
  • 13.8%
  • 20.2%
  • 35.2%
Mammal
  • 10.9%
  • 13.7%
  • 20.8%
  • 13.3%
  • 24.5%
  • 35.7%
Amphibian
  • 7.0%
  • 13.1%
  • 29.4%
  • 10.5%
  • 27.7%
  • 52.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
NO CHANGE
Nicator chloris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
DEC
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Batis orientalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
DEC
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator willcocksi
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lybius guifsobalito
NO CHANGE
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
DEC
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita bicolor
NO CHANGE
INC
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Platysteira cyanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
DEC
DEC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua paradisaea
DEC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Lokwoja (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Lokwoja