Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Birniwa
WDPA ID
36468
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
2
|
27
|
|
| Bird |
34
|
328
|
|
| Mammal |
3
|
79
|
|
| Total | 39 |
434 |
8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola cinerea | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya ferina | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis orientalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceyx pictus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lanius excubitoroides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lophaetus occipitalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius guifsobalito | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius rolleti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Musophaga violacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer griseus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Poicephalus meyeri | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Polyboroides typus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia peli | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus albiceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
