Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Kinging
WDPA ID
36470
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
2
|
27
|
|
| Bird |
33
|
321
|
|
| Mammal |
4
|
82
|
|
| Total | 39 |
430 |
9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola cinerea | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus subsulphureus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stiphrornis erythrothorax | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus latirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllastrephus icterinus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa epulata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllastrephus albigularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sylvietta denti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes albotibialis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prinia leucopogon | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus lathami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis orientalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chloropeta natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clytospiza monteiri | INC |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Drymocichla incana | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco chicquera | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco cuvierii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota violacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Jynx ruficollis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius leucorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius excubitoroides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius guifsobalito | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius rolleti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melichneutes robustus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Musophaga rossae | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Musophaga violacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia adelberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus baglafecht | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus ocularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus meyeri | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops plumatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua raricola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
