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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Maki

  • WDPA ID

    36471

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
27
Bird
34
323
Mammal
3
81
Total
39
431

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.2%
  • 14.3%
  • 16.7%
  • 15.5%
  • 17.4%
  • 22.9%
Mammal
  • 9.9%
  • 11.5%
  • 14.8%
  • 10.7%
  • 13.5%
  • 17.3%
Amphibian
  • 8.2%
  • 12.6%
  • 22.3%
  • 10.9%
  • 17.4%
  • 28.4%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon indicator
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
NO CHANGE
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta denti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
NO CHANGE
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila verreauxii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus lathami
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
DEC
DEC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
DEC
DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
NO CHANGE
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis orientalis
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
INC
NO CHANGE
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
INC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Drymocichla incana
NO CHANGE
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
NO CHANGE
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
NO CHANGE
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
NO CHANGE
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
INC
INC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lybius guifsobalito
NO CHANGE
INC
Lybius rolleti
NO CHANGE
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga rossae
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer griseus
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
NO CHANGE
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigricollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Poicephalus meyeri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
NO CHANGE
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
NO CHANGE
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
NO CHANGE
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur tympanistria
NO CHANGE
INC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Maki (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Maki