Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Ako
WDPA ID
36476
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
2
|
27
|
|
| Bird |
32
|
343
|
|
| Mammal |
3
|
86
|
|
| Total | 37 |
456 |
8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides fulva | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila rapax | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clytospiza monteiri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Colius striatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius guifsobalito | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus baglafecht | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
