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< Return to Official Record for Divana

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Divana

  • WDPA ID

    36501

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
26
Bird
33
329
Mammal
4
82
Total
38
437

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 8.1%
  • 10.1%
  • 20.8%
  • 12.3%
  • 17.0%
  • 31.4%
Mammal
  • 10.0%
  • 14.0%
  • 23.4%
  • 13.4%
  • 24.0%
  • 36.6%
Amphibian
  • 7.5%
  • 13.2%
  • 29.3%
  • 10.3%
  • 25.2%
  • 47.5%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
DEC
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Batis orientalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis savilei
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator willcocksi
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
DEC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura bicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Lybius guifsobalito
NO CHANGE
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita bicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
DEC
DEC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Divana (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Divana