Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Tala Hill

  • WDPA ID

    36524

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
26
Bird
34
369
Mammal
3
89
Total
39
484

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 10.2%
  • 13.9%
  • 17.9%
  • 14.7%
  • 17.5%
  • 21.2%
Mammal
  • 11.7%
  • 14.3%
  • 20.4%
  • 13.4%
  • 15.5%
  • 19.3%
Amphibian
  • 12.9%
  • 18.7%
  • 31.2%
  • 14.0%
  • 24.4%
  • 33.8%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon indicator
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
NO CHANGE
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Prinia leucopogon
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe diademata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
DEC
DEC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Asio capensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
NO CHANGE
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceratogymna elata
NO CHANGE
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
NO CHANGE
INC
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Egretta ardesiaca
DEC
DEC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes ardens
DEC
DEC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Francolinus ahantensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Galerida modesta
INC
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon leucocephala
NO CHANGE
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
NO CHANGE
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
DEC
DEC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Ortygospiza locustella
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
DEC
DEC
Passer griseus
INC
INC
Passer luteus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllanthus atripennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
NO CHANGE
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
DEC
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
DEC
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
NO CHANGE
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus purpuratus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdus pelios
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model