Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Sumu

  • WDPA ID

    36529

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
27
Bird
34
374
Mammal
2
84
Total
38
485

7 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 10.8%
  • 15.1%
  • 17.5%
  • 16.3%
  • 21.2%
  • 25.2%
Mammal
  • 10.7%
  • 17.3%
  • 20.8%
  • 16.3%
  • 22.3%
  • 27.2%
Amphibian
  • 10.5%
  • 20.4%
  • 28.1%
  • 16.2%
  • 31.3%
  • 44.5%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo poensis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
INC
Tricholaema hirsuta
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
INC
Trochocercus nitens
NO CHANGE
INC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
INC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
INC
INC
Andropadus latirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
INC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
INC
Turtur brehmeri
NO CHANGE
INC
Urotriorchis macrourus
NO CHANGE
INC
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
NO CHANGE
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Merops gularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
INC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
INC
INC
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
INC
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ixonotus guttatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Dryoscopus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
INC
INC
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
DEC
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
DEC
DEC
Anas capensis
DEC
DEC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
DEC
DEC
Apalis jacksoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis nigriceps
INC
INC
Apalis sharpii
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
DEC
Apaloderma vittatum
NO CHANGE
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus affinis
INC
INC
Apus horus
INC
INC
Aquila africanus
INC
INC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Asio capensis
DEC
DEC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
NO CHANGE
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Chrysococcyx caprius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola anonymus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
NO CHANGE
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
DEC
DEC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Cryptospiza reichenovii
NO CHANGE
INC
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Drymocichla incana
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
DEC
DEC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
NO CHANGE
INC
Gallinula angulata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon leucocephala
INC
INC
Halcyon senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Jynx ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Kaupifalco monogrammicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius mackinnoni
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
NO CHANGE
Linurgus olivaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lophaetus occipitalis
INC
INC
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus cruentus
INC
INC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus scutatus
INC
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
DEC
DEC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa adusta
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga rossae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
DEC
DEC
Parus albiventris
NO CHANGE
INC
Passer griseus
INC
INC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Phoeniconaias minor
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
NO CHANGE
INC
Platalea alba
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus baglafecht
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
DEC
DEC
Polyboroides typus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pycnonotus barbatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
NO CHANGE
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
NO CHANGE
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura elegans
NO CHANGE
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
DEC
DEC
Serinus burtoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
DEC
DEC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Terpsiphone viridis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thripias pyrrhogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
INC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
NO CHANGE
INC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur afer
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model