Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Zala
WDPA ID
36531
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
1
|
26
|
|
| Bird |
33
|
368
|
|
| Mammal |
2
|
83
|
|
| Total | 36 |
477 |
7 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Gyps fulvus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pseudoalcippe abyssinica | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chloropeta natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gallinula angulata | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon leucocephala | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius excubitoroides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lophaetus occipitalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops nubicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Turtur afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
