Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Burra West
WDPA ID
36535
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
1
|
25
|
|
| Bird |
35
|
375
|
|
| Mammal |
2
|
83
|
|
| Total | 38 |
483 |
7 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Marmaronetta angustirostris | Anseriformes |
|
VU |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia nigromitrata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Merops malimbicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus subsulphureus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tricholaema hirsuta | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Stiphrornis erythrothorax | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus latirostris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur brehmeri | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa epulata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo leucostictus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllastrephus albigularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia johannae | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba unicincta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia cyanolaema | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bleda syndactylus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Prinia leucopogon | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus nasutus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus lathami | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas capensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus curvirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anhinga rufa | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apalis nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis sharpii | INC |
INC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila africanus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bostrychia hagedash | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Buteo auguralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
INC |
|
| Calandrella cinerea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera superciliaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Campephaga quiscalina | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Centropus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceratogymna elata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercococcyx mechowi | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ceuthmochares aereus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ceyx lecontei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chloropeta natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clytospiza monteiri | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracina caesia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvinella corvina | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Drymocichla incana | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Eremomela badiceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis melanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco chicquera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria ocreata | INC |
INC |
|
| Galerida modesta | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glaucidium perlatum | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon leucocephala | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Himantornis haematopus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota violacea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Kaupifalco monogrammicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius excubitoroides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lophaetus occipitalis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus cruentus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Malimbus scutatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melichneutes robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops nubicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | INC |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia adelberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia preussi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus fulgidus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Passer griseus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira blissetti | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sheppardia bocagei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus hartlaubi | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Treron calvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Treron waalia | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
INC |
|
| Turnix hottentottus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur afer | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua raricola | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
