Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Puissa

  • WDPA ID

    36572

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
25
Bird
32
350
Mammal
3
95
Total
39
470

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 8.2%
  • 11.3%
  • 23.7%
  • 12.4%
  • 19.8%
  • 32.2%
Mammal
  • 9.7%
  • 12.1%
  • 20.9%
  • 14.1%
  • 21.7%
  • 32.3%
Amphibian
  • 8.9%
  • 13.2%
  • 32.8%
  • 14.6%
  • 29.6%
  • 48.2%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Tauraco persa
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
NO CHANGE
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
NO CHANGE
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
DEC
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
DEC
DEC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
DEC
DEC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes axillaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
INC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Guttera pucherani
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
DEC
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
NO CHANGE
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo preussi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
DEC
DEC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
DEC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
DEC
DEC
Nigrita bicolor
NO CHANGE
INC
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
NO CHANGE
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
DEC
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
NO CHANGE
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
NO CHANGE
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
DEC
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
DEC
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model