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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Kafnikoro

  • WDPA ID

    36615

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
32
Bird
50
427
Mammal
5
109
Total
59
568

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 9.4%
  • 12.5%
  • 17.7%
  • 13.7%
  • 16.7%
  • 21.1%
Mammal
  • 11.4%
  • 14.0%
  • 19.5%
  • 15.0%
  • 17.6%
  • 21.6%
Amphibian
  • 11.1%
  • 19.0%
  • 31.5%
  • 16.0%
  • 26.7%
  • 37.3%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa epulata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops malimbicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
NO CHANGE
Trochocercus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus latirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
INC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
INC
Turtur brehmeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
NO CHANGE
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
NO CHANGE
INC
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
NO CHANGE
INC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
DEC
DEC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
DEC
DEC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
DEC
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anas hottentota
DEC
DEC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes gabonicus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
NO CHANGE
INC
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
DEC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus horus
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardeola ralloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
NO CHANGE
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
INC
INC
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina azurea
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha polioptera
DEC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus
INC
INC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
DEC
DEC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Himantornis haematopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cucullata
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Malimbus scutatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
NO CHANGE
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira blissetti
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira cyanea
NO CHANGE
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
DEC
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
DEC
DEC
Quelea erythrops
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
DEC
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
NO CHANGE
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
DEC
DEC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdus pelios
INC
NO CHANGE
Turnix hottentottus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua camerunensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Kafnikoro (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Kafnikoro