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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Idu

  • WDPA ID

    36639

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
25
Bird
37
368
Mammal
5
95
Total
46
488

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 10.1%
  • 13.6%
  • 24.7%
  • 18.2%
  • 27.2%
  • 36.2%
Mammal
  • 12.3%
  • 15.6%
  • 24.1%
  • 21.0%
  • 28.6%
  • 41.9%
Amphibian
  • 10.1%
  • 15.7%
  • 31.6%
  • 19.0%
  • 37.6%
  • 54.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa epulata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops malimbicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo poensis
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
NO CHANGE
Trochocercus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
INC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
INC
Turtur brehmeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
NO CHANGE
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
INC
INC
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus lathami
INC
NO CHANGE
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
DEC
DEC
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
DEC
DEC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
DEC
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
DEC
DEC
Apalis flavida
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
NO CHANGE
INC
Batis senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Calandrella cinerea
NO CHANGE
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
DEC
DEC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
DEC
DEC
Clytospiza monteiri
NO CHANGE
INC
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
DEC
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina azurea
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha polioptera
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
INC
Estrilda nonnula
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster
DEC
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
DEC
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria ocreata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
DEC
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
DEC
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
DEC
DEC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rara
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Malimbus scutatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
NO CHANGE
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
DEC
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
DEC
NO CHANGE
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
DEC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
DEC
DEC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
DEC
DEC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira blissetti
INC
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
DEC
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
DEC
DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus
DEC
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
DEC
DEC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tauraco leucolophus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra australis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
DEC
DEC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
DEC
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Idu (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Idu