Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Central Wase
WDPA ID
36688
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
4
|
28
|
|
| Bird |
32
|
348
|
|
| Mammal |
5
|
96
|
|
| Total | 41 |
472 |
8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola cinerea | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | Strigiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tricholaema hirsuta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus nasutus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apus caffer | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila rapax | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera brachyura | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ceuthmochares aereus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chloropeta natalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Colius striatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Columba guinea | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvinella corvina | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eupodotis melanogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco ardosiaceus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco cuvierii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator minor | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius excubitoroides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops pusillus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops variegatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nilaus afer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus bicolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Prinia subflava | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Treron calvus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | DEC |
DEC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
