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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Namtari

  • WDPA ID

    36700

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
30
Bird
27
332
Mammal
4
86
Total
34
448

7 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 8.8%
  • 10.7%
  • 19.2%
  • 12.4%
  • 18.2%
  • 31.3%
Mammal
  • 8.2%
  • 10.7%
  • 16.6%
  • 10.9%
  • 20.9%
  • 31.1%
Amphibian
  • 4.8%
  • 11.1%
  • 24.5%
  • 8.6%
  • 24.6%
  • 43.4%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
NO CHANGE
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
NO CHANGE
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Prinia leucopogon
INC
NO CHANGE
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
DEC
DEC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apaloderma vittatum
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Apus horus
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis orientalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clytospiza monteiri
INC
NO CHANGE
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
DEC
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Guttera pucherani
INC
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
INC
INC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Jynx ruficollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lybius guifsobalito
NO CHANGE
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Platysteira cyanea
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus baglafecht
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tauraco leucolophus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias namaquus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Namtari (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Namtari