Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Lainde
WDPA ID
36701
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
3
|
30
|
|
| Bird |
27
|
335
|
|
| Mammal |
4
|
84
|
|
| Total | 34 |
449 |
7 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola cinerea | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops malimbicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus subsulphureus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tricholaema hirsuta | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trochocercus nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stiphrornis erythrothorax | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur brehmeri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urotriorchis macrourus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gymnobucco calvus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllastrephus icterinus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa epulata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo leucostictus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllastrephus albigularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tauraco macrorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pholidornis rushiae | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia johannae | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
INC |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Columba unicincta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
INC |
|
| Buccanodon duchaillui | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ixonotus guttatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes albotibialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis rufogularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dryoscopus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Prinia leucopogon | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudoalcippe abyssinica | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus lathami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Uromanis tetradactyla | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus curvirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis nigriceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apalis sharpii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apaloderma narina | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apaloderma vittatum | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila africanus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis orientalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
INC |
|
| Calandrella cinerea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera superciliaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera caroli | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercococcyx mechowi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceyx lecontei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chloropeta natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clytospiza monteiri | INC |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracina azurea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina caesia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Drymocichla incana | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria ocreata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
INC |
|
| Gymnobucco bonapartei | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Himantornis haematopus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota violacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Jynx ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius leucorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius excubitoroides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius guifsobalito | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malaconotus cruentus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malimbus nitens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Malimbus scutatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
INC |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melichneutes robustus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops variegatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Musophaga rossae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia adelberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita canicapillus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nigrita luteifrons | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus nigripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus baglafecht | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus bicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus ocularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Prinia subflava | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhaphidura sabini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sarothrura elegans | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra australis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Thripias namaquus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus hartlaubi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron waalia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus superciliosus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua raricola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
