Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Karlahi

  • WDPA ID

    36706

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
27
Bird
28
348
Mammal
5
90
Total
36
465

7 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 8.4%
  • 11.3%
  • 15.3%
  • 12.1%
  • 15.7%
  • 25.2%
Mammal
  • 9.4%
  • 11.5%
  • 15.6%
  • 11.6%
  • 16.1%
  • 23.4%
Amphibian
  • 3.7%
  • 10.0%
  • 18.9%
  • 10.9%
  • 20.5%
  • 32.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
NO CHANGE
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
NO CHANGE
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
NO CHANGE
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis orientalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clytospiza monteiri
INC
NO CHANGE
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha heuglini
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
NO CHANGE
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
NO CHANGE
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Lybius guifsobalito
NO CHANGE
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
NO CHANGE
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus baglafecht
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles senegallus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tauraco leucolophus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias namaquus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model