Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Garba Shege
WDPA ID
36716
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
2
|
25
|
|
| Bird |
28
|
321
|
|
| Mammal |
4
|
84
|
|
| Total | 34 |
430 |
7 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola cinerea | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bycanistes albotibialis | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | Strigiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus nasutus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apus caffer | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Aquila rapax | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ceuthmochares aereus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chloropeta natalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Columba guinea | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvinella corvina | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco biarmicus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco chicquera | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator minor | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Melierax gabar | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops pusillus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops variegatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
INC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nilaus afer | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus bicolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Prinia subflava | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | DEC |
DEC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
