Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Dakka

  • WDPA ID

    36717

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
23
Bird
26
318
Mammal
4
84
Total
32
425

7 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.8%
  • 15.6%
  • 23.3%
  • 17.2%
  • 22.4%
  • 31.8%
Mammal
  • 9.5%
  • 11.9%
  • 17.2%
  • 14.4%
  • 19.0%
  • 26.9%
Amphibian
  • 13.6%
  • 17.6%
  • 29.4%
  • 19.0%
  • 28.6%
  • 43.0%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon indicator
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur brehmeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
NO CHANGE
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
INC
NO CHANGE
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Agapornis pullarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
DEC
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clytospiza monteiri
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos poecilolaemus
INC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
DEC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
DEC
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus squamatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Guttera pucherani
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco bonapartei
NO CHANGE
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Jynx ruficollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
INC
Malimbus scutatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra cantillans
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
DEC
NO CHANGE
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Musophaga rossae
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
DEC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus baglafecht
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra australis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model