Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Bantaji

  • WDPA ID

    36730

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
25
Bird
32
323
Mammal
3
82
Total
38
430

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 15.2%
  • 21.6%
  • 36.4%
  • 22.7%
  • 32.2%
  • 40.5%
Mammal
  • 16.2%
  • 20.6%
  • 28.4%
  • 21.2%
  • 30.1%
  • 47.7%
Amphibian
  • 15.7%
  • 24.7%
  • 44.6%
  • 22.7%
  • 39.2%
  • 67.5%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis aequatorialis Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes albotibialis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
DEC
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla simplex
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
DEC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
NO CHANGE
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius dubius
DEC
DEC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Agapornis pullarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
DEC
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
DEC
DEC
Anthus similis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Apalis flavida
DEC
DEC
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Charadrius forbesi
DEC
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
DEC
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
DEC
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossypha heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
DEC
DEC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Guttera pucherani
INC
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
DEC
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rara
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
NO CHANGE
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
DEC
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
DEC
DEC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Otus senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
INC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
DEC
DEC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
DEC
DEC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
DEC
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
DEC
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
DEC
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
DEC
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model