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< Return to Official Record for Ilesha

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Ilesha

  • WDPA ID

    36793

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
23
Bird
33
317
Mammal
5
102
Total
40
442

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 11.4%
  • 14.0%
  • 16.3%
  • 16.2%
  • 21.2%
  • 36.9%
Mammal
  • 8.7%
  • 11.3%
  • 16.9%
  • 13.3%
  • 20.5%
  • 31.8%
Amphibian
  • 7.7%
  • 10.8%
  • 18.2%
  • 12.4%
  • 25.3%
  • 44.7%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo poensis
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
INC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
NO CHANGE
Trochocercus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
INC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus latirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
INC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
INC
Turtur brehmeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
INC
INC
Merops gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia minulla
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo leucostictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bias musicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Columba unicincta
INC
NO CHANGE
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco peli
INC
NO CHANGE
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus lathami
INC
NO CHANGE
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
DEC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apalis nigriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis sharpii
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
DEC
Aquila africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
DEC
DEC
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus vermiculatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calyptocichla serina
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera maculosa
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina azurea
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Criniger barbatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus sabini
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria ocreata
INC
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
NO CHANGE
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
INC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus cruentus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Malimbus scutatus
INC
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
NO CHANGE
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
NO CHANGE
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra australis
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Zoothera princei
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Ilesha (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Ilesha