Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Eleiyele

  • WDPA ID

    36814

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
31
Bird
65
366
Mammal
8
113
Total
74
510

14 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 14.0%
  • 17.9%
  • 27.9%
  • 23.6%
  • 30.9%
  • 40.9%
Mammal
  • 18.0%
  • 22.1%
  • 28.6%
  • 26.5%
  • 33.0%
  • 44.3%
Amphibian
  • 9.6%
  • 18.6%
  • 37.6%
  • 21.6%
  • 37.5%
  • 59.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Smithornis rufolateralis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryotriorchis spectabilis Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis rufipennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops breweri Coraciiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bycanistes albotibialis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Elminia nigromitrata
DEC
DEC
Bubo poensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
DEC
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
DEC
DEC
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Trochocercus nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia rara
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
DEC
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
DEC
DEC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
DEC
DEC
Criniger calurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus icterinus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa olivascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
DEC
DEC
Neafrapus cassini
DEC
DEC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
DEC
DEC
Platysteira castanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bias musicus
DEC
DEC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
DEC
DEC
Pholidornis rushiae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
NO CHANGE
Canirallus oculeus
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
DEC
DEC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis cleaveri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
DEC
DEC
Bleda syndactylus
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
NO CHANGE
DEC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Dicrurus atripennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia batesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
DEC
DEC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bubo shelleyi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia reichenbachii
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apalis rufogularis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter castanilius
INC
INC
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
INC
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa sethsmithi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bleda notatus
INC
INC
Baeopogon clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
DEC
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
DEC
DEC
Lybius dubius
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
DEC
DEC
Alethe castanea
DEC
DEC
Alethe diademata
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
DEC
DEC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis jacksoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis nigriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Aquila africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis occulta
DEC
DEC
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Burhinus vermiculatus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Calyptocichla serina
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Camaroptera superciliaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga quiscalina
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola anonymus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina caesia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossypha polioptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Criniger barbatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus sabini
DEC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
DEC
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator minor
DEC
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Jubula lettii
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureiceps
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
DEC
DEC
Lanius gubernator
NO CHANGE
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus kempi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
DEC
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
DEC
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melignomon zenkeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nigrita luteifrons
DEC
DEC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
DEC
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
DEC
NO CHANGE
Parmoptila woodhousei
INC
NO CHANGE
Parus funereus
NO CHANGE
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
DEC
DEC
Phyllanthus atripennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
DEC
DEC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
DEC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus pelzelni
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
DEC
DEC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Thripias xantholophus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus fasciatus
DEC
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
DEC
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model