Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Akure

  • WDPA ID

    36834

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
30
Bird
73
359
Mammal
7
102
Total
81
491

16 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 13.4%
  • 16.1%
  • 23.4%
  • 20.6%
  • 25.2%
  • 33.0%
Mammal
  • 22.1%
  • 24.5%
  • 31.0%
  • 27.6%
  • 32.8%
  • 41.0%
Amphibian
  • 15.7%
  • 23.2%
  • 39.5%
  • 24.0%
  • 34.8%
  • 49.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psittacus erithacus Psittaciformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis rufolateralis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia superba Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryotriorchis spectabilis Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis rufipennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops breweri Coraciiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes albotibialis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apalis rufogularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Elminia nigromitrata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nicator chloris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bostrychia rara
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus latirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur brehmeri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa olivascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neafrapus cassini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platysteira castanea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bias musicus
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
NO CHANGE
Ceratogymna atrata
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
DEC
DEC
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco peli
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
INC
Illadopsis rufipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bubo shelleyi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia fuliginosa
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia reichenbachii
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Apalis rufogularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter castanilius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
INC
Malimbus erythrogaster
INC
INC
Criniger ndussumensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
INC
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa sethsmithi
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius luehderi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bleda notatus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus xavieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius dubius
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Alethe diademata
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
DEC
DEC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
DEC
NO CHANGE
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
DEC
DEC
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes aurantium
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Aquila africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis occulta
INC
NO CHANGE
Batis senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Burhinus vermiculatus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Calyptocichla serina
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera caroli
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla flavicollis
DEC
DEC
Chloropeta natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola anonymus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola rufus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Colius striatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
DEC
NO CHANGE
Coracina caesia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus sabini
DEC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
DEC
DEC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
INC
Hirundo fuliginosa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Jubula lettii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
NO CHANGE
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
DEC
DEC
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melignomon zenkeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
DEC
DEC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nigrita luteifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
DEC
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza locustella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
DEC
DEC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus pelzelni
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
DEC
DEC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Porphyrio alleni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura rufa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
INC
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Thripias xantholophus
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Zoothera princei
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model