Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Adoru

  • WDPA ID

    36860

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
24
Bird
66
373
Mammal
4
90
Total
73
487

14 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 15.8%
  • 18.5%
  • 26.7%
  • 21.6%
  • 32.1%
  • 45.7%
Mammal
  • 21.9%
  • 24.0%
  • 28.6%
  • 27.6%
  • 35.8%
  • 46.4%
Amphibian
  • 6.8%
  • 12.2%
  • 22.8%
  • 18.0%
  • 33.9%
  • 52.7%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psittacus erithacus Psittaciformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryotriorchis spectabilis Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus ansorgei Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia batesi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis rufipennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops breweri Coraciiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Merops apiaster Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apalis rufogularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Elminia nigromitrata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubo poensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
DEC
DEC
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur brehmeri
DEC
DEC
Urotriorchis macrourus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba iriditorques
INC
NO CHANGE
Criniger calurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus icterinus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa olivascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
DEC
DEC
Neafrapus cassini
DEC
DEC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
DEC
DEC
Platysteira castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Bias musicus
INC
INC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pholidornis rushiae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus ansorgei
DEC
DEC
Ceratogymna atrata
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa comitata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
DEC
DEC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
INC
Platysteira concreta
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
DEC
DEC
Bubo shelleyi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia reichenbachii
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter castanilius
DEC
DEC
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
INC
Criniger ndussumensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
INC
INC
Muscicapa sethsmithi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bleda notatus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus xavieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
DEC
DEC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
DEC
DEC
Alethe diademata
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
DEC
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes aurantium
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis jacksoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis nigriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma vittatum
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus horus
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila africanus
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
NO CHANGE
INC
Batis occulta
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus vermiculatus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Calandrella cinerea
NO CHANGE
INC
Calyptocichla serina
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga petiti
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga quiscalina
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Chlorocichla falkensteini
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla flavicollis
DEC
DEC
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola anonymus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola brunnescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola lateralis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
INC
INC
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracina caesia
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Criniger barbatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Dendropicos poecilolaemus
INC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus sabini
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda nonnula
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
DEC
DEC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
DEC
DEC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
NO CHANGE
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
NO CHANGE
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
DEC
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo preussi
DEC
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Jubula lettii
INC
NO CHANGE
Jynx ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
DEC
DEC
Lanius gubernator
NO CHANGE
INC
Lanius mackinnoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
INC
NO CHANGE
Melignomon zenkeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
DEC
DEC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nigrita luteifrons
DEC
DEC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus icterorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parmoptila woodhousei
INC
NO CHANGE
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
DEC
DEC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus aurantius
INC
INC
Ploceus baglafecht
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus bicolor
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
INC
INC
Ploceus pelzelni
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Poicephalus gulielmi
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia bairdii
INC
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
DEC
DEC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Sasia africana
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tauraco leucolophus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
INC
Thripias xantholophus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
DEC
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model