Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Mkar

  • WDPA ID

    36895

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Mkar is among the top 75 protected areas assessed as being the most vulnerable to climate change by 2025 (with a 95% uncertainty level)

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
23
Bird
39
317
Mammal
3
74
Total
45
414

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 18.7%
  • 23.4%
  • 35.4%
  • 27.5%
  • 36.8%
  • 44.7%
Mammal
  • 21.8%
  • 25.8%
  • 34.1%
  • 27.9%
  • 37.6%
  • 50.1%
Amphibian
  • 10.8%
  • 27.2%
  • 43.1%
  • 30.0%
  • 44.7%
  • 64.2%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryoscopus senegalensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo poensis
DEC
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Psittacus erithacus
INC
INC
Trochocercus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilis
DEC
DEC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
DEC
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
DEC
DEC
Chlorocichla simplex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
DEC
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia minulla
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo leucostictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira castanea
INC
INC
Bias musicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
DEC
DEC
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus ansorgei
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Canirallus oculeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
NO CHANGE
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Columba unicincta
INC
NO CHANGE
Corythaeola cristata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
NO CHANGE
Bleda syndactylus
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
INC
INC
Gymnobucco peli
INC
NO CHANGE
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
INC
Accipiter castanilius
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus camurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus lathami
DEC
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
DEC
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
DEC
DEC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes aurantium
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus vermiculatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
INC
INC
Calyptocichla serina
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera caroli
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
DEC
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina azurea
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Criniger barbatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus gularis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dryoscopus sabini
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda nonnula
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
DEC
DEC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hartlaubi
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
DEC
DEC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
DEC
DEC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
NO CHANGE
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
NO CHANGE
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
DEC
DEC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
DEC
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
DEC
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
DEC
DEC
Indicator minor
DEC
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
DEC
DEC
Jynx ruficollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
DEC
DEC
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Malimbus scutatus
DEC
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
NO CHANGE
Megabyas flammulatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
DEC
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga rossae
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia olivacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parus funereus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phoeniculus bollei
INC
NO CHANGE
Phoeniculus purpureus
DEC
DEC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira blissetti
INC
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus baglafecht
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus bicolor
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
DEC
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
DEC
DEC
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
DEC
DEC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
DEC
DEC
Pyrrhurus scandens
DEC
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
DEC
DEC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
DEC
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model