Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Baissa

  • WDPA ID

    36899

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
20
Bird
60
370
Mammal
7
84
Total
69
474

14 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 17.6%
  • 22.3%
  • 28.9%
  • 23.7%
  • 28.5%
  • 32.9%
Mammal
  • 16.5%
  • 20.5%
  • 24.8%
  • 21.7%
  • 26.0%
  • 30.8%
Amphibian
  • 10.4%
  • 16.0%
  • 24.0%
  • 12.1%
  • 19.8%
  • 31.0%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa olivascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia johannae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia cyanolaema Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryoscopus senegalensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prinia leucopogon Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa sethsmithi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis sharpei Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
INC
INC
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
INC
Merops malimbicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Psittacus erithacus
INC
INC
Trochocercus nitens
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Bostrychia rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
INC
INC
Merops gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
INC
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
INC
INC
Neafrapus cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
INC
Platysteira castanea
INC
INC
Bias musicus
INC
INC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
INC
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Columba unicincta
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
INC
INC
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
INC
Nectarinia batesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
INC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter castanilius
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia bouvieri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
INC
INC
Smithornis sharpei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus camurus
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
INC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
DEC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
DEC
NO CHANGE
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
NO CHANGE
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
DEC
DEC
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
DEC
DEC
Apalis cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis jacksoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis nigriceps
INC
INC
Apalis sharpii
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
DEC
Apaloderma vittatum
DEC
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus horus
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardeola ralloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
NO CHANGE
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calyptocichla serina
NO CHANGE
INC
Campephaga petiti
DEC
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Campethera tullbergi
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola anonymus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aridulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brunnescens
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracina azurea
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha polioptera
DEC
DEC
Cossyphicula roberti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Criniger barbatus
INC
INC
Cryptospiza reichenovii
DEC
DEC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus angolensis
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Dryoscopus sabini
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Elminia albiventris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
DEC
DEC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda nonnula
DEC
DEC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
DEC
DEC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes capensis
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hartlaubi
DEC
DEC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
INC
Halcyon leucocephala
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Jynx ruficollis
INC
INC
Kaupifalco monogrammicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Lanius mackinnoni
DEC
DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
INC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
INC
INC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
DEC
DEC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa adusta
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga rossae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia preussi
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nettapus auritus
NO CHANGE
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parus albiventris
DEC
DEC
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Passer griseus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Platalea alba
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
INC
Platysteira chalybea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
INC
Ploceus baglafecht
INC
INC
Ploceus bicolor
INC
INC
Ploceus insignis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
DEC
DEC
Ploceus preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prinia bairdii
INC
INC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura elegans
DEC
DEC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Sasia africana
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus burtoni
DEC
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
DEC
DEC
Smithornis capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Thripias namaquus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
INC
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur afer
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Zoothera princei
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model