Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Gangume

  • WDPA ID

    36901

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
22
Bird
32
322
Mammal
5
87
Total
39
431

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 13.6%
  • 16.1%
  • 20.4%
  • 17.4%
  • 20.1%
  • 27.6%
Mammal
  • 12.2%
  • 14.0%
  • 16.8%
  • 16.0%
  • 18.4%
  • 23.3%
Amphibian
  • 8.4%
  • 13.1%
  • 17.9%
  • 12.0%
  • 19.2%
  • 27.5%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes albotibialis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
INC
Merops malimbicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Psittacus erithacus
NO CHANGE
INC
Trochocercus nitens
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Bostrychia rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus latirostris
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
INC
Turtur brehmeri
INC
INC
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
INC
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
INC
Platysteira castanea
INC
INC
Bias musicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
INC
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Gymnobucco peli
INC
INC
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
NO CHANGE
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
INC
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
DEC
DEC
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus camurus
INC
INC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
DEC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
DEC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
DEC
DEC
Apalis cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
INC
INC
Apalis sharpii
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma vittatum
DEC
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
INC
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera tullbergi
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola brunnescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina azurea
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha polioptera
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Criniger barbatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus sabini
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Elminia albiventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
DEC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
DEC
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Jynx ruficollis
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
NO CHANGE
INC
Laniarius poensis
DEC
DEC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Lanius mackinnoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
INC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus cruentus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
INC
INC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops mentalis
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa adusta
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa caerulescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga rossae
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia preussi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
DEC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oreolais pulchra
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parus albiventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Passer griseus
INC
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Platalea alba
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira blissetti
NO CHANGE
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus baglafecht
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus bicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus insignis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
DEC
DEC
Ploceus preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
INC
Prinia bairdii
INC
NO CHANGE
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Smithornis capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
NO CHANGE
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thripias namaquus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
INC
Thripias xantholophus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Zoothera princei
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model